BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1 Class Rank: 43 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (11-9) Overall: (19-12) Overall Strength = 33.73
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 31.48 69 56 1 180 ( 22- 9) UNC Wilmington -2.25 15.25
2 11-11-2022 Home W 44.04 102 86 1 72 ( 28- 3) Col Charleston 10.31 5.69
3 11-15-2022 Home W 23.48 72 66 1 205 ( 15- 16) Gardner Webb -10.25 16.25
4 11-20-2022 Home W 41.88 80 64 1 91 ( 22- 10) James Madison 8.15 7.85
5 11-24-2022 Neutral W 31.56 89 81 1 153 ( 14- 19) Portland -2.17 10.17
6 11-25-2022 Neutral L 32.33 65 70 1 21 ( 18- 12) Iowa St -1.40 -3.60
7 11-27-2022 Neutral L 42.14 101 103 4 1 1 ( 26- 5) Alabama 8.41 -10.41
8 11-30-2022 Away L 27.88 65 77 1 25 ( 20- 10) Indiana -5.85 -6.15
9 12-04-2022 Away L * 26.48 72 80 1 76 ( 18- 13) Virginia Tech -7.25 -0.75
10 12-10-2022 Home W * 35.84 75 59 1 158 ( 14- 17) Georgia Tech 2.11 13.89
11 12-13-2022 Home W 41.68 100 67 1 325 ( 10- 22) Citadel 7.94 25.06
12 12-17-2022 Neutral W 38.53 89 84 1 1 48 ( 13- 18) Ohio St 4.80 0.20
13 12-21-2022 Neutral W 37.45 80 76 1 47 ( 17- 13) Michigan 3.72 0.28
14 12-30-2022 Away L * 32.97 74 76 1 66 ( 21- 10) Pittsburgh -0.77 -1.23
15 01-04-2023 Home W * 34.66 88 79 1 88 ( 18- 13) Wake Forest 0.93 8.07
16 01-07-2023 Home W * 36.30 81 64 1 163 ( 11- 20) Notre Dame 2.57 14.43
17 01-10-2023 Away L * 30.26 58 65 1 46 ( 23- 6) Virginia -3.47 -3.53
18 01-14-2023 Away W * 40.12 80 59 1 277 ( 4- 27) Louisville 6.39 14.61
19 01-17-2023 Home W * 26.72 72 64 1 170 ( 15- 16) Boston College -7.01 15.01
20 01-21-2023 Home W * 41.34 80 69 1 44 ( 22- 9) NC State 7.61 3.39
21 01-24-2023 Away W * 33.55 72 68 1 116 ( 17- 14) Syracuse -0.18 4.18
22 02-01-2023 Home L * 27.22 64 65 1 66 ( 21- 10) Pittsburgh -6.52 5.52
23 02-04-2023 Away L * 32.64 57 63 1 29 ( 23- 8) Duke -1.09 -4.91
24 02-07-2023 Away L * 25.41 85 92 1 88 ( 18- 13) Wake Forest -8.32 1.32
25 02-11-2023 Home W * 48.41 91 71 1 67 ( 22- 9) Clemson 14.68 5.32
26 02-13-2023 Home L * 22.12 72 80 1 36 ( 24- 6) Miami FL -11.61 3.61
27 02-19-2023 Away L * 29.09 69 77 1 44 ( 22- 9) NC State -4.64 -3.36
28 02-22-2023 Away W * 30.05 63 59 1 163 ( 11- 20) Notre Dame -3.68 7.68
29 02-25-2023 Home W * 38.51 71 63 1 46 ( 23- 6) Virginia 4.78 3.22
30 02-27-2023 Away W * 34.65 77 66 1 211 ( 9- 22) Florida St 0.92 10.08
31 03-04-2023 Home L * 26.89 57 62 1 29 ( 23- 8) Duke -6.84 1.84
Averages 33.73 76.5 71.3
Best game: 48.41 = 20 point win over Clemson
Worst game: 22.12 = 8 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 6.55